Monday, April 03, 2006

Opening of the 39th Parliament

For what it's worth, here's my guess at the way things are going to unfold:

In the throne speech, there will be just the right amount of lip service to "making Parliament work," but the main focus will be the five priorities; I wouldn't be surprised to hear an admonishment towards the opposition, warning them not to try and derail the Conservative's mandate.

If the Neo-Tories find themselves up in the polls at any time (specifically, on the SES polls), then watch for them to push their platform hard on all fronts; if they fall behind, then they might be a little more cautious. Somehow, I think they are going to govern like a strong minority, and they will risk being brought down if they feel they can put the blame on the opposition parties, and benefit from the backlash.

We'll see.

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